Why Does the Fed Not Raise Interest Rates?

EconMaters writes:  We are not talking about raising the Fed Fund’s Rate to 4% we are just talking about raising rates more in line with basically a normal functioning economy growing at 2 plus percent on an annual basis with an unemployment rate in the fives. If the Federal Reserve cannot raise rates after 7 long years, this either says a lot about their lower rate and QE strategy in the first place, i.e., it hasn’t worked, or they need to quit making excuses and raise the freaking rate already. This has gone on long enough; I want the Federal Reserve out of financial market manipulation with absurdly idiotic interventionist policies. There is something seriously wrong if the Federal Reserve cannot raise the Fed Fund’s Rate a measly 100 basis points after 7 longs years of ZIRP! Seven years is an entire business and economic cycle, shoot the economy has been at ZIRP for so long it literally could cycle back to recession just because it has been so long, and business cycles have normal patterns of growth and contraction, we did study this in business school, this is economics 101!

Interest Rates?

Nobel Prize Gender Gap

May-Britt Moser, who jointly won the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine in 2014 was only the 46th female Nobel Laureate.

Since Marie Curie has been honoured twice, a total of 45 women have been awarded a Nobel Prize since 1901. The chart below shows a gender breakdown of all individual (non-institutional) Nobel Prize winners since the award’s inception.

Nobel Prize Gender Gap

Grace Hopper Panel Doesn’t Dent Sexism in High Tech

At the Grace Hopper conference, no one had much to say about the sexiam in high tech,

The panel consisted of Facebook CTO Mike Schroepfer; Google’s SVP of search Alan Eustace; Blake Irving, CEO of GoDaddy; and Tayloe Stansbury, CTO of Intuit. The assembled white men set out to tell the audience what their companies are doing to make women more welcome and how men and women (yes, that’s right—women, too) can change the boys’ club culture in tech.

Instead, they ended up reinforcing many of the stereotypes women are already all too familiar with. In essence, their advice to women was: Work harder, build great things, speak up for yourself, lean in. It got so bad that at one point, the audience started heckling the speakers.

Women in High Tech

Modi to Modernize?

Dhiraj Nayyar:writes:   In India, Modi needs to clear away the sobwebs choking the legal and business sectors.  The real problem involves a raft of laws that lend themselves to exploitation, impeding business and government efficiency even today.

the government has now picked out 287 such measures, most of which are ludicrously outdated. One says that property in a certain part of Kolkata, one of India’s largest cities, can only be sold to the British East India Company. Another bans flying kites or balloons without police permission, because these constitute aircraft according to a 1934 law.

Such colonial-era rules may make for good comedy. But, of course, most of them are never enforced. The real problem involves a raft of laws that lend themselves to exploitation, impeding business and government efficiency even today.

Three prominent Indian think tanks — the Centre for Civil Society, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy and the Vidhi Legal Centre — recently released a report called the Repeal 100 Laws Project that identifies several such regulations. The Indian Boilers Act of 1923, for instance, requires that government inspectors certify the fitness of steam boilers in Indian factories. Originally meant as a health-and-safety measure, the law has essentially become an instrument of extortion by bribe-taking inspectors.

 Modi Reforms

Abe Needs to Encourage Innovation in Japan

Faiure to take risks, to inernalize and to value employees based on merit is crippling the Japanese economy according to co-winner of the Nobel prize in physics, Shuji Nakamura.

This has resulted in years of stagnation in sei-conductors, solar panels and smartphones.

As Diet sessions opn this month, Abe has a chance to sorrect this.  Abe has pledged to lay out the specifics of his structural reform drive, which relies heavily on corporate tax cuts and reducing red tape. But he’s been quiet on one reform that truly would encourage the risk-taking culture Japan needs so badly: making sure employees get paid for their inventions.

Abe Needs to Reform

Elon Musk Predicts Takeover by Supercomputers

At  conference in San Francisco, Musk predicted that supercomputers will replace humans.  Actually his description of the takever is more dramatic.  “I don’t think anyone realizes how quickly artificial intelligence is advancing.  Particularly if involved in recursive self-improvement…and its utility function is something that’s detrimental to humanity, then it will have a very bad effect,” Muks said.

Supercomputers could deltet human life as if it were annoying spam.

Supercomputer Takeover

 

UK Independence Party Candidate Wins First Seat

Once called ‘fruitcakes” by David Cameron, the UKIP wins its first eelction.Former Tory MP Douglas Carswell becomes the first UKIP candidate to be elected to the House of Commons.

The UK Independence Party has gained its first elected MP, with Douglas Carswell taking the seat of Clacton by 12,404 votes.  Mr Carswell, who defected from the Conservatives, knocked his old party – which enjoyed a 12,068 majority at the 2010 election – into second place.

UKIP leader Nigel Farage said he had “shaken up British politics”.

In the night’s other by-election, Labour held on to Heywood and Middleton but UKIP slashed its majority to 617.

Mr Farage told BBC Breakfast UKIP could hold the balance of power after next year’s general election.

He said UKIP’s second place in Heywood and Middleton was “even more significant” than its win in Clacton, saying the party was now the main opposition to Labour in northern cities.

“Something big is happening here. People want change, they have had enough of career politicians in three parties.”

Fruitcake No Longer

Juncker Juggles. Slovenia Nominates Violetta Bulc

After days of intense speculation, Prime Minister Miro Cerar announced that he had chosen Bulc, a liberal.

The Slovenian government followed with a statement announcing that it “authorized Ambassador Rado Genorio, the Permanent Representative of the Republic of Slovenia to the European Union to refer the proposal to the competent EU institutions”.

Bulc will in theory inherit the Energy Union Vice-Presidency from Bratušek, who was rejected by the European Parliament on Wednesday (8 October).

But Juncker might need to rethink the allocation of portfolios in his team. Indeed, Bulc has neither the political experience, nor the policy background to lead a team of Commissioners on this matter.

Instead, the Energy Union Vice-Presidency could go to Kristalina Georgieva, who was initially allocated the Budget and Human Resources portfolio, Parliament sources told EurActiv. Georgieva’s responsibilities would then be given to Maroš Šefčovič, the Slovak who is currently nominated for Transport and Space.

As a result, Bulc would take the Education, Culture, Youth and Citizenship portfolio from Hungary’s Tibor Navracsis, who was rejected by Parliament because of his track record serving in a populist government, which has adopted restrictive media laws and launched a crackdown on NGOs.

Violetta Bulc, No Energy

Will the US Fed React to Slowing Economic Growth in the EU?

Recent Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee meeting noted the following: ?“Some participants expressed concern that the persistent shortfall of economic growth and inflation in the euro area could lead to a further appreciation of the dollar and have adverse effects on the U.S. external sector. Several participants added that slower economic growth in China or Japan or unanticipated events in the Middle East or Ukraine might pose a similar risk. At the same time, a couple of participants pointed out that the appreciation of the dollar might also tend to slow the gradual increase in inflation toward the FOMC’s 2 percent goal.?

Strong DollarNote:  Remarks from the US Federal Resevre on the Global Economy are highly unusual.  The Wall Street Journal editorializes on the reaction to a downturn in Europe, with Germany losing its mojo.  “Everyone is looking to the European Central Bank to save the day, but there’s only so much Mario Draghi can do.”

Netfix Streaming Movies Home. Movie Chains Survival?

Does Netflix new deal to make movies and stream them to home entertainment centers threaten movie chains?

Netflix has just inked a four-movie deal with Adam Sandler that threatens to shake up the big theater chains by radically altering the way movies are distributed and viewed. It will allow Netflix to produce movies and to stream them directly to customers’ home entertainment centers and computers, completely bypassing exhibit houses. The online Washington Post put this ominous headline on the story: ‘Why the Adam Sandler deal with Netflix could doom theaters…’ Exhibitors, especially big chains like Regal Cinemas, Cinemark and AMC, are understandably upset.

But  huge investment in digital projection systems will give the exhibitors the ability to transform the movie business even more radically than Netflix has transformed it already. At a cost of about $65,000 per projector, movie houses have installed digital systems that have all but eliminated Kodak prints. The savings to distributors have been enormous – on the order of a billion dollars a year in mailing and insurance costs alone. Now, instead of making and shipping 1,200 prints to open a blockbuster movie “wide,” the studios send out ultra-high-definition discs that cost just a few dollars to create and ship. Digital projection systems have also allowed theaters to broadcast special “live” events, such as performances by the Bolshoi Ballet, the London Philharmonic Orchestra and the New York Metropolitan Opera. The theaters have a big advantage over home systems here, since such performances benefit greatly from giant screens (including IMAX) and spectacular sound systems that far outclass even the best home entertainment systems. And there’s yet one more very important factor that will continue to favor theaters over home entertainment systems: the eagerness of all but die-hard couch potatoes to get out of the house on a Friday or Saturday night.

Netflix Streaming to Home